TRON’s Next Big Move Hinges on This Critical Break—Are You Ready to Capitalize?

Have you ever noticed how a single wallet could wield such massive influence that it practically steers the entire market’s tide? Well, that’s precisely what Orca wallets are doing with TRON’s USDT flows—snatching up a staggering 52%, a figure so jaw-dropping, it screams liquidity in motion. Now, here’s the kicker: this isn’t just some random wallet shuffle. Historically, these liquidity surges have been the unsung harbingers of market expansion, a prelude whispering that something big might just be lurking around the corner. Combine that with steady spot outflows and a bearish Funding Rate lurking in the shadows, and you’ve got the perfect setup—like a pressure cooker ready to unleash a short squeeze frenzy. It’s that moment when the market’s pulse quickens, and as an investor, the big question becomes: “Will TRX break past that critical $0.37 resistance and kick off the next bullish chapter?” Let’s peel back the layers to see what the charts, wallets, and market tensions have in store. LEARN MORE

Key Takeaways 

Orca wallets capture 52% of TRON USDT flows, signaling liquidity preparation. Spot outflows and bearish Funding Rates hint at short squeeze potential.

Orca wallets surged to dominate TRON’s [TRX] USDT activity, capturing 52% of flows on the 4th of September, a record high. 

This exceeded the previous 45% peak in August, which was followed by an 8% Bitcoin [BTC] rally. Historically, such behavior is tied to liquidity shifts into exchanges, often preceding market expansions. 

TRON’s deep reliance on USDT makes this data even more relevant. TRX traded at $0.338 at press time, after recent consolidation. 

With mid-tier wallets driving liquidity, analysts see a potential setup for broader market positioning that could trigger TRX strength in the coming sessions.

Can TRX break past $0.37?

TRX’s daily chart showed a clear cup-and-handle pattern at the time of writing, a setup often linked to bullish continuation. 

The neckline aligned with a confluence resistance zone between $0.356 and $0.37, creating a critical breakout barrier. 

Price action has also formed a falling wedge, a technical structure that frequently resolves upward when demand increases.

Importantly, RSI rested near 46, hovering at neutral territory and suggesting momentum could expand. 

Therefore, bulls must reclaim the neckline for confirmation, as this would open the path toward Fibonacci levels around $0.39 and potentially $0.42.

Source: TradingView

Quiet accumulation before the next move

Exchange flows added weight to the technical picture. TRX recorded nearly $10 million in net outflows on the 4th of September, reinforcing a trend of steady accumulation. 

These patterns surface when investors move assets into cold storage, reducing immediate sell pressure. It aligns with earlier wallet activity, which hinted at liquidity preparation. 

Spot market behavior reflected confidence despite price hesitation, as consistent outflows often precede periods of upward volatility. 

If accumulation sustains, TRX could gain stronger buy-side backing, giving bulls an edge heading into critical resistance zones.

Source: CoinGlass

TRX: Short squeeze potential?

Derivatives markets tell a different story. At press time, TRX’s OI-Weighted Funding Rate dipped negative, signaling that short traders have gained dominance. 

While this implies bearish positioning, it also creates conditions for a squeeze if buying accelerates. 

Therefore, bears may find themselves exposed should spot accumulation and technical structures align. 

Historically, negative funding paired with strong spot flows has triggered swift upside moves, driven by forced short covering. 

Consequently, the current derivatives tilt may amplify volatility, with TRX price highly sensitive to breakout confirmation above $0.37.

Source: CoinGlass

Is TRX preparing for a decisive breakout?

Orca wallet dominance, persistent spot outflows, and a bullish chart structure all point to a strong setup. Although derivatives lean bearish, this tilt could fuel a short squeeze if spot demand holds. 

Therefore, TRX appears to be preparing for a decisive test of $0.37, and a successful breakout may open doors to higher Fibonacci targets.