Is the Stock Market’s Unstoppable Rally a Genius Play or a Ticking Time Bomb?

Here’s what I think is most likely:

• The S&P 500 is likely to set a new all-time high today.

• The rally has extended gains for those using systematic approaches like my Volatility Breakout System.

• There are no clear bearish signals yet, but a deeper downward correction is not out of the question at some point.

• A lack of strong bullish catalysts may limit further upside in the near term.

What this means for your portfolio

For individual investors, this environment calls for careful position management. While the market continues to advance, the combination of low volatility, seasonal weakness signals, and stretched valuations suggests that defensive positioning may become increasingly important in the weeks ahead.

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