AUD/USD on the Edge: Will the RSI Breakdown Trigger a Major Market Shift or a Sneaky Rebound?
Ever wonder if the AUD/USD pair is playing a game of limbo—how low can it go before snapping out of its sideways shuffle? Today, it’s inching down during the North American session, trading just shy of the 0.7140 mark, and teetering between its 20-day and 50-day Simple Moving Averages at 0.7187 and 0.7095 respectively. From where I’m standing, this tug-of-war within these technical boundaries suggests traders might want to watch closely—because a slip below the recent swing low could unlock momentum for a further dip. The Relative Strength Index has already flashed a bearish signal, hinting that sellers are gathering strength. So, are we gearing up for a bearish rehearsal, or can the Aussie find its footing and charge toward the 0.7200 milestone and beyond? Let’s dive into the nitty-gritty of what this means for savvy investors navigating these choppy forex waters. LEARN MORE
The AUD/USD edges lower during the North American session, poised to remain sideways within key technical support and resistance levels, with the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 0.7187 and the 50-day SMA at 0.7095. At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 0.7137, down 0.17%.
AUD/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook
From a technical perspective, the AUD/USD market structure suggests further downside if the pair falls below the April 29 swing low at 0.7101, reaching a 4-week low at 0.7079 on May 19.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) turned bearish, signaling that sellers are gaining momentum, as it fell below its 50-neutral level.
For a bearish resumption, the AUD/USD must clear the May 21 low at 0.7099, so traders can test the 50-day SMA. On further weakness, the 100-day SMA at 0.7024 becomes the next support level, followed by 0.7000.
On the upside, a break above the 20-day SMA will expose the 0.7200 milestone. Above this area, the next resistance is the year-to-date (YTD) peak at 0.7264.
AUD/USD Price Chart – Daily
Australian Dollar Price This week
The table below shows the percentage change of Australian Dollar (AUD) against listed major currencies this week. Australian Dollar was the strongest against the Canadian Dollar.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | 0.14% | -0.87% | 0.25% | 0.46% | 0.28% | -0.15% | -0.23% | |
| EUR | -0.14% | -1.03% | 0.17% | 0.30% | 0.12% | -0.22% | -0.39% | |
| GBP | 0.87% | 1.03% | 1.16% | 1.33% | 1.17% | 0.81% | 0.61% | |
| JPY | -0.25% | -0.17% | -1.16% | 0.15% | -0.05% | -0.45% | -0.52% | |
| CAD | -0.46% | -0.30% | -1.33% | -0.15% | -0.20% | -0.60% | -0.72% | |
| AUD | -0.28% | -0.12% | -1.17% | 0.05% | 0.20% | -0.34% | -0.43% | |
| NZD | 0.15% | 0.22% | -0.81% | 0.45% | 0.60% | 0.34% | -0.20% | |
| CHF | 0.23% | 0.39% | -0.61% | 0.52% | 0.72% | 0.43% | 0.20% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Australian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent AUD (base)/USD (quote).
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